While the 2008 crash saw us all face a major economic and fiscal reality-check, 2012′s landscape will see us move beyond bailouts and credit downgrades to a world where governments and business leaders need to deal with the societal impact of growing unemployment, worker insecurity and an alarmingly widening gap between the wealthy establishment and the common workers (or, as the Americans love to call them, “the Middle Class”).

We’re already starting to see visible signs of social unrest developing with the “Occupy” demonstrations spreading across the western world. Worryingly, for business leaders and governments, is the fact that there is no imminent prospect of these movements fizzling out. A Double-Dip Recession will exacerbate these issues further and we could be on the cusp of some dramatic and painful changes to the global economic and political landscape.

As we stumble towards this increasing likelihood of a Double-Dip Recession, these are becoming highly sensitive times for our enterprises, and none more so for the buyers, advisors and sellers of outsourcing services operating right in the midst of many of these issues. So what are their expectations, and how do they anticipate their respective businesses to be impacted if things take a nose-dive?

Providers and Advisors are bullish about profiting from a Double-Dip, but must avoid complacency

Our new study that covered the intentions and observations of 534 buyers, advisors and providers with their sourcing strategies, in the event of a “Double-Dip” Recession, reveals that the folks advising and selling outsourcing services are feeling pretty bullish that their clients will turn to them for even more help, if things really start to get dicey over the next six months.  61% of provider and 44% of advisor executives are expecting their respective businesses to increase revenues:

While the sell-side readies itself to enjoy increased profits, close to half of enterprises are expecting layoffs, 40% are sizing up increasing the labor-arbitrage of IT and 30% similarly with finance, procurement, industry-specific and customer management processes:

While most of us are incredibly frustrated with Greek PM Papandreou’s decision to turn to his people for their opinion, let’s pause for a moment – if your government had mismanaged your economy so badly that you were going to be indebted to the Germans and the Chinese for the next few decades, wouldn’t you be feeling a bit miffed?  If your CEO was about to sell a major shareholding in your firm to some other entity, and you were a stakeholder in the business, wouldn’t you want a say?  If your company’s board had mismanaged its finances so badly, it feels the need to outsource a whole chunk of its operations to some provider who barely understands the intricacies of your company, wouldn’t you want a say?

Surely, lousy management teams run the risk of ripping the very soul out their corporate cultures if they fail to listen to the concerns and recommendations of their people, just like those awful governments who drove their nations to bankruptcy and think they can still fix their problems with even more bailouts and loans, without consulting their people?  Do corporate leaders want their workforces to feel like the “99%”?  I don’t think so…

And is the 99% really so ignorant about what’s going on that both governments and their business leaders can now operate in a bubble of their own because they know better?  Something’s gotten broken here, and it may simply be that many of today’s politicians and business leaders are actually losing touch with their people. This is an alarming and unsustainable trend, and the outsourcing business could be in danger of getting caught up in the complacency.

While news like this will have some advisors and providers excited about hitting their revenue goals, we have to be highly-conscious of the fact that if this data becomes reality, the outsourcing industry is going to arrive at a highly visible and dangerous phase in its development. As we have been at pains to point out – for five years on this site – buyers need to look beyond labor-arbitrage to find any real long-term benefits from outsourcing. However, these issues are going to move beyond buyers simply improving business processes and cutting costs – they are going to become  centered on how companies are managing their workforces. Governments are very capable of passing measures very quickly to restrict outsourcing if things get really bad – and they won’t have much choice if the 99% demand it.

The Bottom-line: Outsourcing professionals need to avoid being perceived as the “1%”

Now, more than ever, the outsourcing industry runs the risk of a backlash, if the worst economic fears are realized in the coming weeks and months.  A Double-Dip Recession will polarize governments and most likely paralyze uncertain businesses.  Most of you who frequent our blog and research sites make a decent living buying, advising or selling sourcing – and we have a collective responsibility to recognize that the very life-blood of organizations and their employees are at stake in the coming months. And if they fail, we will go down with them.

Outsourcing can be a tremendous help for many organizations needing support with improving their processes, globalizing their business operations and accessing better IT, but it is not – and never should be – the only solution to their problems.  It should be a vehicle to help companies perform better, to help its staff become more experienced and knowledgeable.  All outsourcing stakeholders – buyers, providers and advisors – need to focus, more than ever, on helping organizations approach outsourcing as one supporting component of a holistic solution.  In short, buyers and providers need to come closer together to tackle these issues and demonstrate to the world how they are creating value and improving competitive behavior.